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Structured expert elicitation on disinformation, misinformation, and malign influence: Barriers, strategies, and opportunities

Ariel Kruger, Morgan Saletta, Atif Ahmad and Piers Howe

We used a modified Delphi method to elicit and synthesize experts’ views on disinformation, misinformation, and malign influence (DMMI). In a three-part process, experts first independently generated a range of effective strategies for combatting DMMI, identified the most impactful barriers to combatting DMMI, and proposed areas for future research.

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Conspiracy Theories

Using an AI-powered “street epistemologist” chatbot and reflection tasks to diminish conspiracy theory beliefs

Marco Meyer, Adam Enders, Casey Klofstad, Justin Stoler and Joseph Uscinski

Social scientists, journalists, and policymakers are increasingly interested in methods to mitigate or reverse the public’s beliefs in conspiracy theories, particularly those associated with negative social consequences, including violence. We contribute to this field of research using an artificial intelligence (AI) intervention that prompts individuals to reflect on the uncertainties in their conspiracy theory beliefs.

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Commentary

Conspiracy Theories

The climate lockdown conspiracy: You can’t fact-check possibility 

Michael P. A. Murphy

The climate lockdown conspiracies claim that a clandestine group of elites are planning to use climate change as a justification to enact widespread lockdowns and curtail freedoms. This conspiracy draws on a wide range of unconnected real-world events and suggests that their possibility of happening again is all the proof required.

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Conspiracy Theories

The impact of conspiracy belief on democratic culture: Evidence from Europe

Maik Herold

The spread of conspiracy theories is expected to have an increasing impact on the vitality of Western democracies and their political culture. Drawing on a 2022 survey from 10 European countries (with n = 20,449), this study uses narratives about immigration and COVID-19 to examine their relation to individual democratic attitudes and preferred forms of political participation.

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Conspiracy Theories

The relationship between conspiracy theory beliefs and political violence

Adam Enders, Casey Klofstad and Joseph Uscinski

Recent instances of political violence have prompted concerns over the relationship between conspiracy theory beliefs and violence. Here, we examine the relationships between beliefs in various conspiracy theories and three operationalizations of violence—support for political violence, self-reported engagement in political violence, and engagement in non-political conflict.

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Research Note

Conspiracy Theories

Understanding climate change conspiracy beliefs: A comparative outlook

Daniel Stockemer and Jean-Nicolas Bordeleau

Are climate change conspiracy theories widespread across the world, or do we find climate change conspiracy beliefs more so in some countries than in others? This research note explores the prevalence of conspiracy beliefs that identify climate change as a hoax across eight geographically and culturally diverse countries.

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Commentary

Conspiracy Theories

Are conspiracy beliefs a sign of flawed cognition? Reexamining the association of cognitive style and skills with conspiracy beliefs

Roland Imhoff and Tisa Bertlich

Throughout human history, political leaders, oppositional forces, and businesspeople have frequently coordinated in secret for their own benefit and the public’s disadvantage. In these cases, conspiracy theories are capable of accurately describing our environment. However, the vast majority of research today operationalizes conspiracy theories as irrational beliefs that contradict our everyday knowledge.

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Conspiracy Theories

White consciousness helps explain conspiracy thinking

Feodor Snagovsky

While conspiracy theories have long been tied to race, ethnicity, and religion, understanding this relationship is increasingly important in countries where White identity has become politically charged. This study finds that those high in White consciousness are more likely to 1) engage in generalized conspiracy thinking, 2) endorse the racist “great replacement” conspiracy theory, and 3) move from generalized conspiracy thinking to endorsing specific, non-racial conspiracy theories.

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Editorial

Conspiracy Theories

Conspiracy theories and their believers in an era of misinformation

Daniel Stockemer and Jean-Nicolas Bordeleau

Conspiracy theories have transitioned from fringe phenomena to central forces shaping public opinion and political discourse worldwide. Driven by the digital transformation of information, conspiracy beliefs increasingly pose a challenge across the world. Recent research has sought to unravel the psychological, social, and political dimensions of conspiracy beliefs, recognizing their potential to polarize societies, incite political violence, and undermine civic trust.

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